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Sunday, 29 January 2012
Combining Inside Days with Bollinger Bands
Prices at the upper Bollinger band
are considered high and prices at the lower Bollinger band are
considered low. However, just because prices have hit the upper
Bollinger does not necessarily mean that it is a good time to sell.
Strong trends will 'ride' these bands and wipe out any trader attempting
to buy the 'low' prices in a downtrend or sell the 'high' prices in an
uptrend. Therefore, just buying at the lower band and selling at the
upper band is out of the question. By definition, price makes new highs
in an uptrend and new lows in a downtrend, which means that they will
naturally be hitting the bands. With this information in mind, our
filter will require that buy signals occur only if the candle
following the one that hits the Bollinger band does not make a new high
or low. This type of candle is commonly known as an inside day. The
best time frames to look for the inside days are daily charts, but this
strategy can also be used on hourly, weekly and monthly charts.
Combining inside days with Bollinger bands increases the likelihood that
we are only picking a top or bottom after prices have hit extreme
levels. As a rule of thumb, the longer the time frame, the rarer the
trade will be, but the signal will also be more significant
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